President Volodymyr Zelensky said the hot phase of the war could end as early as November [1], provided security guarantees are secured.
This timeline suggests a strategic window to transition from active combat to a stable peace. By exploiting current advantages on the front, Ukraine aims to prevent Russia from using a temporary lull to organize a new offensive.
Speaking to deputies of his parliamentary faction at the Office of the President in Kyiv, Zelensky said that the presidential office is currently considering the possibility of ending the hot phase of the conflict in November [1]. This objective depends on the international community and allies providing the necessary security frameworks to ensure a lasting cessation of hostilities.
MP Olga Vasylievska‑Smialuk said that such a development could happen under the condition that security guarantees are granted [1]. The administration believes that Ukraine currently holds a tactical advantage on the front lines, a position that must be utilized to deny the Russian military the opportunity to regroup.
Zelensky said that the goal is to ensure Russia cannot launch another attack after a short pause. The strategy involves maintaining pressure to force a conclusion to the active fighting phase while simultaneously securing the legal and military protections required to prevent future aggression [1].
While the president outlined this potential timeline, the realization of a November end date remains contingent on both the battlefield trajectory and the diplomatic willingness of global partners to provide formal guarantees [1].
“The hot phase of the war could be ended as early as November.”
The proposal to end the 'hot phase' of the war by November indicates a shift toward a time-sensitive strategic goal. By linking the cessation of active combat to specific security guarantees, Ukraine is attempting to leverage its current battlefield superiority to force a diplomatic outcome that prevents Russia from regaining the initiative during a ceasefire.
