An exit poll by Today's Chanakya predicts the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will win 192 seats in the West Bengal Legislative Assembly [1].
This projection suggests a significant political shift in the state, as it indicates the BJP could breach the stronghold of the All India Trinamool Congress (TMC). A victory of this scale would grant the BJP a two-thirds majority in the state's government [2].
The poll predicts the BJP will secure 192 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 11 [1]. In contrast, the TMC is projected to win 100 seats, also with a margin of plus or minus 11 [1]. Other parties are expected to secure only two seats, with a margin of plus or minus two [3].
There are 294 total seats in the West Bengal Assembly [4]. The Today's Chanakya survey suggests a "flood" of support for the BJP that could fundamentally alter the legislative landscape of the region [2].
Official results will be declared after the votes are counted on May 4, 2026 [5]. Until that time, these figures remain projections based on voter surveys conducted immediately following the polls.
“The BJP is projected to win 192 seats, with a margin of plus or minus 11.”
If these projections hold true, it would represent a historic defeat for Mamata Banerjee and the TMC, who have long dominated West Bengal's politics. A two-thirds majority for the BJP would allow the party to pass legislation and potentially implement constitutional changes at the state level with minimal opposition, marking a decisive shift toward the national ruling party's platform in eastern India.
